Antiviral drugs like remdesivir, molnupiravir and Paxlovid have undoubtedly saved lives and reduced the suffering wrought by covid-19 since they began rolling out in fall of 2020.
But theyre far from perfect, as President Joe Bidens recent experience shows. After treatment with Paxlovid, his covid infection rebounded, though his symptoms were mild.
With the pandemic showing no signs of slowing, the hunt for the next generation of covid treatments is speeding up. Pfizer and Merck the makers of Paxlovid and molnupiravir, respectively already have potential drug candidates that work better, or are easier to take, in their development pipelines. And many smaller biotech companies are also entering the race. They include Enanta Pharmaceuticals, which earlier this month reported a successful Phase I clinical trial of its experimental covid drug. Meanwhile, the Biden administration said in June that it planned to spend more than $3 billion to accelerate the search for better covid antiviral drugs.
I think the technical word to describe [the current covid] drugs would be suboptimal, said Luis Schang, a virologist at Cornell University. The drugs, all of which stem from antivirals developed before SARS-CoV-2 existed, have been a first good stab at beating back the virus in the body, he said, but they all have limitations.
But in the history of antiviral drugs, less-than-perfect initial stabs are the norm, experts said, drawing parallels with efforts to develop effective treatments for conditions like HIV and hepatitis C.
The first drug that we used against HIV, to be quite honest, was miserable, Schang said. AZT, first approved in 1987, caused serious side effects, and its effectiveness wore off quickly sometimes in just days as the virus evolved resistance. It took nearly a decade of research for scientists to develop a breakthrough triple-drug therapy in 1996 that combined several antiviral drugs to combat resistance. But the regimes involved complicated dosing and serious side effects that hampered their use. Now, there are more than 30 antiviral drugs for HIV, and its possible to treat the condition with just one pill a day.
Those first-generation drugs were better than nothing, but it took years of research to find better options. As the second-, third- and fourth-generation drugs were developed, the drugs got more potent, had less side effects and can be given less often, said Sara Cherry, an immunologist at the Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania. It really speaks to the fact that every development of a new drug can help mitigate all the things about the first generation that were imperfect.
From the earliest days of the pandemic, researchers and pharmaceutical companies have suspected that the first covid drugs to market wouldnt end up being the final word on treating the disease.
When clinical trial data showed remdesivir to be the first effective coronavirus drug, Anthony Fauci, Bidens medical adviser and leader of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease since 1984, cautioned that this was just the beginning, reflecting on his involvement in early HIV drug research. That was not the end game, because building on that every year after we did better and better, we had better drugs of the same type, and we had drugs against different targets, Fauci said.
The second-generation covid antivirals closest to approval will likely target similar aspects of the coronavirus as existing drugs, but better. Pfizer is reportedly working on an improved version of Paxlovid that would make it less problematic for people taking other medications, and the Japanese company Shionogi developed a once-a-day drug that works similarly to Paxlovid (which must be taken multiple times a day), that could be approved within months. An infusion of research money into a long-neglected field is fueling experimentation, with many labs developing new ways of stopping SARS-CoV-2, some of which might work against many other viruses.
In the future, I think that were going to have more drugs against similar targets, were going to have drugs against new targets. And hopefully, well have combinations in the future that will really slam the virus, Cherry said.
Viruses are little more than tangled strands of genetic material (RNA, in SARS-CoV-2s case) enclosed in a protein shell. They dont have the ability to reproduce on their own and instead hijack the machinery of their hosts to copy themselves.
Antiviral drugs are designed to gum up this process. Viruses that arent reproducing dont cause acute disease, typically, said Jeffrey Glenn, a gastroenterologist and molecular virologist at Stanford University. So, we want to interfere with their ability to reproduce themselves.
Most existing antiviral drugs, for any disease, aim to disrupt something about the virus itself. Many target viral polymerases, the proteins viruses use to make copies of their genetic material once they infect a host. Remdesivir, for instance, mimics the coronavirus genetic material, halting replication. Another common target is viral proteases, enzymes a virus needs to make proteins that make more viruses. The active ingredient in Paxlovid, which consists of two medications, inhibits a key enzyme needed to produce this replication machinery. The other ingredient slows the bodys metabolism of the active ingredient, helping it work longer.
In cell culture, these all work quite well to block viral infection, said Cherry. But when you move into an organism, theres a lot more complications, she said. Our bodies might break down a drug too quickly for it to clear enough virus, or the drug may not reach peak concentration in the lung or respiratory tract, where viral replication is happening. With potentially billions of viral particles to counter, getting this concentration right really matters, Cherry said, and can take time to perfect.
Imperfect single antivirals can also foster the evolution of drug-resistant strains of a virus. By knocking down susceptible strains in an infected individual, the antiviral can give resistant strains a leg up, allowing them to flourish within that individual and spread. The single drugs initially used for HIV evolved resistance generally quickly, said Matthew Frieman, a coronavirus researcher at the University of Maryland. It wasnt until they started combining two and three and four drugs together, these drug cocktails, that scientists learned this worked much more efficiently.
Combining multiple antiviral drugs makes it much harder for a virus to evolve resistance, since its being hit from many different angles at different stages of the replication cycle, Frieman said. The strategy is often simply more effective, too. By hitting it at multiple steps in life cycle, you can really enhance the effects of any one of these drugs individually, he said. You can also generally use less of each drug, which can reduce side effects.
Identifying drugs that might work together is one crucial step, and scientists have already begun testing different combinations in the lab. The other part is combining together drugs developed by different companies, Frieman said. It becomes an issue of money and patent rights, which can be difficult. Altogether, the process of developing combination therapy can take many years, he said.
There are currently no trials underway testing Paxlovid with other drugs, and some experts worry that combining molnupiravir, which works by introducing mutations into SARS-CoV-2s genetic material, could breed resistant strains. Consequently, more antiviral drugs may need to get developed before combination therapies come online. Thankfully, scientists are looking for new targets at an unprecedented scale in antiviral research.
Most antiviral drugs, for any condition, target two key factors of viral replication, polymerases and proteases. I expect the next generation [of covid antivirals] will come from optimized protease and polymerase inhibitors, said Schang. Some versions, which are easier to take and have fewer drug interactions, might be approved within months. But many scientists are starting to think beyond these targets.
Antiviral therapies are heavily biased toward protease inhibitors and polymerase inhibitors, said Schang, and thats resulted in a relative scarcity of chemical scaffolds that are known to have antiviral activity. Thats a major limitation moving forward. We have to have more chemical diversity.
There are many ways to throw a wrench in viral replication. For example, before a virus can replicate, its viral RNA must be unwound by enzymes called helicases. There are lots of programs trying to develop helicase inhibitors against SARS-CoV-2, Cherry said. Other scientists are working on ways of creating chinks into the coronavirus armor, designing antivirals that blow apart the protein shell that encases viral genetic material.
Other researchers are trying to design drugs that deprive viruses the opportunity to usurp our cells, by latching onto parts of human cells that the virus hijacks to invade or blocking access to human cellular components the virus needs to reproduce.
The approach is relatively new, and few drugs use it, but so-called host-directed antivirals could have advantages, said Glenn of Stanford. Since youre targeting something not under the virus control, we predict a high barrier to development of resistance, he said. Such drugs might work against other viruses too. If one virus has evolved to depend on a certain host function, its likely others have too, he said.
Finally, theres a third class of antivirals, called immune modulators, that seek to supercharge how our bodies naturally deal with infection. Interferons are proteins that whir into action at the first sign of an infection, kick-starting the immune response. Peginterferon lambda, a drug developed by Eiger Biopharmaceuticals, has shown exciting results in an early clinical trial. One shot of the drug cut risk of hospitalization by half when administered early in vaccinated patients and by 89 percent when administered early to unvaccinated patients. Glenn, who founded Eiger and sits on its board of directors, said the company plans to request emergency use authorization from the Food and Drug Administration.
Efficacy and ease of use arent the only factors that will shape the next iterations of covid antivirals. To be maximally effective, the drugs need to relatively inexpensive and easy to manufacture and distribute worldwide, Cherry said. Thats actually not so trivial, she said, but is key to ensuring the kind of equitable access that represents the worlds best bet toward controlling the pandemic.
But with unprecedented funding and interest in antivirals, many researchers are optimistic. Not only might the next generations of SARS-CoV-2 antivirals transform the nature of the pandemic, they might bolster our antiviral arsenal such that were better prepared for the next major infectious disease threat. Theres no limit to the creativity and novelty of all these new targets, Frieman said. Which ones work and which ones wont work, I dont know, but I think that the future is really bright for the number of antivirals that will be developed in the next decade.
An earlier version of this article misstated that Eiger Biopharmaceuticals had already requested emergency use authorization. This version has been corrected.
Thanks to Lillian Barkley for copy editing this article.
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